We document a sizeable increase in the frequency of price adjustments following the large energy shocks of 2022. We use a tractable New Keynesian model, calibrated to the preshock data, to interpret such a pattern. The calibration highlights the state dependence of firms' decisions: prices are adjusted rapidly when markups are misaligned. In the model, a large cost shock triggers a swift increase in the frequency of price adjustments, causing a rapid pass-through from costs to prices. Time-dependent models, such as the Calvo model, miss this frequency response, failing to capture the sudden inflation surge after a large shock.
Lippi, Francesco; Cavallo, Alberto; Miyahara, Ken. (2024). Large shocks travel fast. AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW. INSIGHTS, (ISSN: 2640-2068), 6:4, 558-574. Doi: 10.1257/aeri.20230454.
Large shocks travel fast
francesco lippi;
2024
Abstract
We document a sizeable increase in the frequency of price adjustments following the large energy shocks of 2022. We use a tractable New Keynesian model, calibrated to the preshock data, to interpret such a pattern. The calibration highlights the state dependence of firms' decisions: prices are adjusted rapidly when markups are misaligned. In the model, a large cost shock triggers a swift increase in the frequency of price adjustments, causing a rapid pass-through from costs to prices. Time-dependent models, such as the Calvo model, miss this frequency response, failing to capture the sudden inflation surge after a large shock.| File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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