This paper proposes a new approach to fuzzy clustering of time series based on the dissimilarity among conditional higher moments. A system of weights accounts for the relevance of each conditional moment in defning the clusters. Robustness against outliers is also considered by extending the above clustering method using a suitable exponential transformation of the distance measure defned on the conditional higher moments. To show the usefulness of the proposed approach, we provide a study with simulated data and an empirical application to the time series of stocks included in the FTSEMIB 30 Index.

Fuzzy clustering of time series based on weighted conditional higher moments / Cerqueti, Roy; D'Urso, Pierpaolo; De Giovanni, Livia; Mattera, Raffaele; Vitale, Vincenzina. - In: COMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS. - ISSN 0943-4062. - 39:(2024), pp. 3091-3114. [10.1007/s00180-023-01425-6]

Fuzzy clustering of time series based on weighted conditional higher moments

Cerqueti, Roy;D’Urso, Pierpaolo;De Giovanni, Livia;Vitale, Vincenzina
2024

Abstract

This paper proposes a new approach to fuzzy clustering of time series based on the dissimilarity among conditional higher moments. A system of weights accounts for the relevance of each conditional moment in defning the clusters. Robustness against outliers is also considered by extending the above clustering method using a suitable exponential transformation of the distance measure defned on the conditional higher moments. To show the usefulness of the proposed approach, we provide a study with simulated data and an empirical application to the time series of stocks included in the FTSEMIB 30 Index.
2024
Financial time series, Dynamic conditional score, Unsupervised learning, Robust clustering, Fuzzy clustering, Conditional moments, Exponential dissimilarity
Fuzzy clustering of time series based on weighted conditional higher moments / Cerqueti, Roy; D'Urso, Pierpaolo; De Giovanni, Livia; Mattera, Raffaele; Vitale, Vincenzina. - In: COMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS. - ISSN 0943-4062. - 39:(2024), pp. 3091-3114. [10.1007/s00180-023-01425-6]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11385/234140
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