While period fertility started to drop significantly below replacement in most Western European countries during the 1970s and 1980s, most fertility surveys, value studies and opinion polls have found that the number of children considered ideal for society or for one’s own family has remained above two children per woman. These surveys have led to the expectation that – sooner or later – period fertility would recover in Europe. The most recent data from the Eurobarometer 2001 survey, however, suggest that in the German-speaking parts of Europe the average ideal family sizes given by younger men and women have fallen as low as 1.7 children. This paper examines the consistency and the credibility of these new findings, which – if they are indeed indications of a new trend – may alter the current discussion about future fertility trends in Europe.

The emergence of sub-replacement family size ideals in Europe / Goldstein, J; Lutz, W; Testa, M. - In: POPULATION RESEARCH AND POLICY REVIEW. - ISSN 0167-5923. - 22:5-6(2004), pp. 479-496. [10.1023/B:POPU.0000020962.80895.4a]

The emergence of sub-replacement family size ideals in Europe

TESTA M
2004

Abstract

While period fertility started to drop significantly below replacement in most Western European countries during the 1970s and 1980s, most fertility surveys, value studies and opinion polls have found that the number of children considered ideal for society or for one’s own family has remained above two children per woman. These surveys have led to the expectation that – sooner or later – period fertility would recover in Europe. The most recent data from the Eurobarometer 2001 survey, however, suggest that in the German-speaking parts of Europe the average ideal family sizes given by younger men and women have fallen as low as 1.7 children. This paper examines the consistency and the credibility of these new findings, which – if they are indeed indications of a new trend – may alter the current discussion about future fertility trends in Europe.
Fertility; Fertility intentions; Europe; Family size ideals; Fertility expectations; Personal ideal family size
The emergence of sub-replacement family size ideals in Europe / Goldstein, J; Lutz, W; Testa, M. - In: POPULATION RESEARCH AND POLICY REVIEW. - ISSN 0167-5923. - 22:5-6(2004), pp. 479-496. [10.1023/B:POPU.0000020962.80895.4a]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11385/197837
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