Yes, state- and time-dependent models are really different, but only for large monetary shocks. In particular, we show that in a broad class of models where shocks have continuous paths, the propagation of a monetary impulse is independent of the nature of the sticky price friction when shocks are small. The propagation of large shocks instead depends on the nature of the friction: the impulse response of inflation to monetary shocks is independent of the shock size in time-dependent models, while it is nonlinear in state-dependent models. We use data on exchange rate devaluations and inflation for a panel of countries froM1974 to 2014 to test for the presence of state-dependent decision rules. We present some evidence of a nonlinear effect of exchange rate changes on prices in a sample of flexible exchange rate countries withlow inflation. We discuss the dimensions in whichthis finding is robust and the ones in whichit is not.
Are state- and time- dependent models really different? / Alvarez, Fernando; Lippi, Francesco; Passadore, Juan. - In: NBER MACROECONOMICS ANNUAL. - ISSN 0889-3365. - 31:1(2016), pp. 379-457. [10.1086/690243]
Are state- and time- dependent models really different?
Lippi, Francesco
;
2016
Abstract
Yes, state- and time-dependent models are really different, but only for large monetary shocks. In particular, we show that in a broad class of models where shocks have continuous paths, the propagation of a monetary impulse is independent of the nature of the sticky price friction when shocks are small. The propagation of large shocks instead depends on the nature of the friction: the impulse response of inflation to monetary shocks is independent of the shock size in time-dependent models, while it is nonlinear in state-dependent models. We use data on exchange rate devaluations and inflation for a panel of countries froM1974 to 2014 to test for the presence of state-dependent decision rules. We present some evidence of a nonlinear effect of exchange rate changes on prices in a sample of flexible exchange rate countries withlow inflation. We discuss the dimensions in whichthis finding is robust and the ones in whichit is not.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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